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BayesForSEIRD

Bayesian calibration and model comparison for a continuum SEIRD epidemic model.

Paper companion Python

Bayesian calibration of a continuum SEIRD epidemic model under uncertainty: parameter inference from reported data, posterior predictive checks, and the model-selection machinery to compare formulations rather than assume one.

Written in Python. It is a paper companion, from the early-pandemic predictive-science work at the Oden Institute, and is included here because the methodology, calibrating a PDE model when the data are noisy and the model is wrong in known ways, is the same one the mechanics work now uses.

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